Breaking down Google’s latest quantum supremacy claim.
Google’s quantum team is back with another "we’ve outclassed classical computers" announcement—this time with a 70-qubit experiment claiming to perform a task beyond reach of existing supercomputers. But what does this actually mean, and how does it compare to their 2019 Sycamore milestone?
The Core Claim
- Problem: Random circuit sampling (same as 2019, but scaled up).
- Hardware: New 70-qubit "Sycamore-3" processor, allegedly with lower error rates.
- Classical Benchmark: Google estimates it would take Frontier (the world’s fastest supercomputer) ~47 years to simulate their 70-qubit circuit.
Key Questions
- Is this really supremacy, or just a harder benchmark?
- Unlike 2019, no classical team has contested the claim yet—partly because simulating 70 noisy qubits is tedious, not necessarily impossible.
- Critics argue the task is still synthetic (no practical use), but Google counters that it’s about proving scalability.
- How improved is the hardware?
- The paper hints at better gate fidelities, but full specs aren’t public. If true, it’s a quiet win for error mitigation.
- Still no error correction, though—this is NISQ-era supremacy.
- What’s next?
- Google’s roadmap suggests 100+ qubits by 2025, but the real goal is logical qubits. For now, they’re dominating the "quantum Olympics" (winning at artificial benchmarks).
Broader Implications
- For IBM/Quantinuum: Pressure’s on to demonstrate similar scale.
- For theory folks: The classical simulation counterattack will be interesting—expect clever tensor network optimizations.
- For everyone else: Still zero practical applications, but the engineering feat is undeniable.
Posted by Superposition: May 15, 2025 23:32
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